The Drum Live Panel Compered by Barry Dudley: Holdco veterans declare ‘a new era for independents’

The Drum Live 2025 is now in full swing, featuring two days of debate and comment that bring their audience into the live workings of The Drum. What do VCCP, FGS Global and Kantar all have in common? Yes, they’re some of the biggest organisations in the marketing world, but there’s something else too: they’re among the companies that have left the world of marketing’s titanic holding companies and are enjoying their time as independents. So says Ajaz Ahmed, who’s been on his own journey of independence of late. The founder of AKQA led the agency through its acquisition by WPP until the point at which he turned a critic of adland’s holding company model. He left in 2024 and this year has launched Studio.One, which he told The Drum will be a “direct rival” to the “slow, bloated, expensive agency model” at the holdcos. Speaking at The Drum Live today, Ahmed celebrated a “new era for independent agencies,” in which, he says, not only are those former WPP-owned shops such as VCCP thriving, but other indies, including Mother and Mischief, are entering a purple patch. “They’re all thriving,” Ahmed told an audience at The Drum’s HQ in Shoreditch, London. “And the founders or the partners have both the skin in the game and that stakeholder management. It’s definitely an exciting time for independent agencies.” Ahmed was joined on stage by Jon Goulding, the chief executive at independent shop Atomic London since 2012, who racked up 12 years at Omnicom shops Rapp and DDB; and Zoe Eagle, chief exec at Iris (an indie-adjacent shop owned by Cheil), a veteran of Publicis’s BBH and an ad behemoth of another kind, Accenture, as it absorbed Karmarama. The panel was compered by Barry Dudley – no stranger to indie-network dynamics in his role as a partner at M&A advisory practice Green Square. Why are independents finding themselves so bullish? Well, the ad biz isn’t a zero-sum game, but one factor is a battery of high-profile manoeuvrings in the holdco world that our panellists used to call home, which bespeak opportunity for hungry indies: the ongoing Omnicom-IPG merger; WPP welcoming a new leader amid a difficult year; Dentsu reportedly looking to offload its holdings outside Japan; S4 posting shrinking revenues.

Lessons from the mothership

While it’s convenient to treat the ad industry’s holding companies as an interchangeable set, of course, that’s only a convenient fiction: they’re distinct organisations with distinct histories and organisational set-ups. “Not all holding companies are the same and to kind of have this umbrella term as a holding company and imagine they’re all running the same way is completely and utterly inaccurate,” says Ahmed. Still, each of our panellists has entered their current role with lessons of what to bring forward from their former employers and what to leave well behind. Ahmed’s Studio.One, for example, has done away with time sheets and is committed to not having an HR department. Another lesson from former employer WPP, he says, is: “There seem to be more job titles than there are people [at the holding companies]. So many chiefs! Everyone at holding companies seems to be a ‘chief’… What we vowed was that we’re going to have only three job titles.” For her part, Zoe Eagle’s first act when arriving at Iris almost a year ago was getting rid of ‘utilization’ as a metric. “I found it to be a shrink-inducing thing to be focusing on,” Eagle says. “It’s sort of pointless to be looking at when you’re trying to create an environment that is innovation-focused, growth-oriented and about top-line growth.” It’s not just a practical consideration for Eagle – in fact, this issue connects to an existential question for the marketing industry: “Are we compliance-governance-process organizations, or are we innovation-organizations that are going to encourage unexpected, entrepreneurial, out-of-the-box thinking? That’s where disproportionate, explosive growth is going to come from. And tech transformation is really putting that into focus: when you’re trying to drive efficiency within a tech stack, you need a completely different type of person than when you’re trying to create something totally unexpected and never seen before that’s going to cut through.”

From ‘holding company’ to ‘operating company’

Running Atomic now for over 13 years, Jon Goulding says that it all comes down to using the agility of independence to give clients what they want. And what they want is to really get to know their partners and feel the impact of collaboration with them. “Clients need those collisions of really seeing people working on their business and their company’s future,” he says. Being an operator and not just a manager is the route to that collaborative mode. Holdcos and indies alike, Goulding says, need to get closer to operations. “The problem with the name ‘holding company’ is that, by definition, it was built to hold entrepreneurial people… Now, you’ve got to move to being an ‘operating company.’” What does this prototypical ‘operating company’ look like? For Goulding, it comes down to avoiding the pitfalls of moving further away from the work. “There are a lot of CEOs who aren’t actually in control of their businesses or all their clients’ work. That’s why it’s such a rich time for indies, because you’re able to throw yourself into online client work. The opportunity is to get off the fence and become an operating company”. For Eagle, this all smells like opportunity. Both holding companies and independents will continue to exist for as long as any of us can see, but which ones will survive, she says, will come down to agility and entrepreneurialism. “You need environments that can nurture innovative, creative thinking. And I think the question will be, which of these businesses is able to do that effectively? The market demand isn’t going anywhere. “Businesses want to hack growth because resources are tight. You need people who are equipped to be entrepreneurial… There’s an opportunity for businesses like ours to get that talent out and really give them the space to thrive.” Read more  

The Omnicom / IPG shakedown – Panel Debate Lead by Barry Dudley at The Drum Live, 24th September 2025

There’s lots happening in the global advertising holding companies as Omnicom and IPG prepare to merge and rumours persist that other major groups are planning on joining forces to face a marketing future destined to be governed by AI, data and automation. So, what does this all mean if you are a brand using one of the agencies owned by IPG, Omnicom, Stagwell, Publicis, WPP, Havas and Dentsu? Barry Dudley will moderate a panel where participants share their views on what the future holds for the holdco model and what the agency your brand is using in the coming years will look like.   Read more Attend Agenda    

The A-game: From revenue to real value. Tony Walford guest appearance on the Agency Works webinar 19th September.

Tony Walford is pleased to have been invited as a guest on the Agency Works A-Game webinar on 19th September, where he’ll be discussing the key drivers of agency value with the inimitable Jay Neale. Register here Every agency owner thinks about growth. Some dream of scaling, others of a future sale, and many of securing investment to take their business to the next level. But here’s the challenge: what creates value in an agency isn’t always what owners think. A big client win, a glossy award, or rapid revenue growth might feel like success – but to acquirers and investors, they’re only part of the story. The truth is, financial value comes down to a handful of critical drivers. Miss them, and your agency may struggle to attract the right buyer or partner. Nail them, and you’ll open the door to investment, acquisition, or a successful exit. Tony Walford, partner of Green Square and one of the leading M&A and corporate advisory voices in the marketing communications, media and tech sectors, is chatting to Jay Neale. Tony advises agencies on what makes them attractive to acquirers, how to navigate the planning process, and where the market is heading next. They’ll be discussing the key drivers of financial value every agency needs to get right, what acquirers are really looking for and recent trends around growth.  

S4 confirms MSQ merger talks – here’s why a deal could tempt both parties. Barry Dudley writes in The Drum

Barry Dudley of Green Square dissects the fledgling talks between S4 Capital and MSQ Partners, exploring strategic fit, the market forces driving the potential deal and what it could mean for Sir Martin Sorrell’s “new-age” marketing group after a turbulent few years. S4 Capital, Sir Martin Sorrell’s ‘new-age’ digital marketing group, has confirmed that it is in very preliminary deal talks with MSQ Partners, the creative and technology agency network that is majority-owned by US private equity firm One Equity Partners (OEP). The potential deal – which S4 says would be structured as an acquisition of MSQ by S4 Capital rather than a takeover of S4 – comes after a bruising period for the group. S4’s share price has fallen more than 90% from its peak only a few years ago. The current market capitalization sits at around £140m, a fraction of the multibillion pound valuation it once enjoyed. I’ve heard rumors and seen reports of other interested parties in the past, including the likes of Stagwell, New Mountain Capital and Accenture. I suspect Sir Martin has had many conversations come at him, or indeed he has sought them. Probably even more are incoming right now.  

Two different growth stories

S4 Capital was founded in 2018 after Sorrell’s high-profile exit from WPP. Built on aggressive M&A, it focused on digital content production, programmatic advertising and data-driven marketing through acquisitions such as MediaMonks and MightyHive. Its client base reads like a tech-sector who’s-who: Alphabet, Amazon, Meta to name just a few. However, that narrow tech focus has been a double-edged sword. When the sector tightened budgets and many reallocated spend towards AI investments, S4’s revenues took a hit – compounded by accounting missteps, economic headwinds and rising interest rates. MSQ Partners, on the other hand, offers a broader spread of clients – more than 250, including Unilever, Haleon, Lego, P&G and Booking.com – across consumer goods, healthcare, financial services and B2B. It operates through a decentralized network of specialist agencies spanning advertising, PR, design, digital, and tech. Since being acquired by OEP in 2023, MSQ has invested in integrated, creative-plus-tech delivery models. We recently advised Precious Media, a connected commerce digital agency, on its sale to MSQ. So how could they fit: Complementary client bases – S4 is over-indexed to tech; MSQ brings balance through FMCG, healthcare, and finance. Capability cross-sell – MSQ’s creative brand-building could bolster S4’s digital execution; S4’s programmatic and data expertise could sharpen MSQ’s digital performance offering. Geographic scale – S4’s US and APAC strength could mesh with MSQ’s European roots, giving a broader footprint without heavy duplication. AI positioning – Both have leaned into AI narratives, but a combined group could pool their R&D resources.  

Market backdrop

The marketing services sector is undergoing its biggest structural shift since the holding-company era of the 80s and 90s. AI is reshaping creative workflows, media buying and data analytics. Clients are consolidating their agency rosters, looking for faster, integrated delivery. The network groups have been re-engineering their own businesses to face this new way of working, with WPP recently merging its media offer under one brand. All are focussed on, and investing in, AI to help them deliver across media, creative and processes. But these are big legacy firms… and big ships can find it notoriously difficult to change course quickly. This has created fertile ground for private equity–backed roll-ups and mergers of complementary mid-scale networks. We’ve seen a plethora of PE firms coming into the market and appetite isn’t abating. For OEP, combining MSQ with S4 could create another top-tier independent rival, not only to snap at the heels of the mega groups, but also some of the smaller challenger brands and the other PE-backed indies. It could also give MSQ more muscle in terms of its own future expansion, both geographically and in terms of capability infills it may need.  

Fascinating unknowns

Will OEP take it off the stock market? I suspect it will, not least because it removes that historical peak – which was arguably a significant over-valuation – which will otherwise be a benchmark that continues to be referenced under the current listing. That said, maintaining the listing could open up other options in terms of financing future acquisitions. And where will Sir Martin end up if this goes through? His voting control and personal stake mean no deal happens without him seeing a clear path for himself. Wherever things go, he looks set for another defining chapter in his career. Or will he head for the beach, which is where I am right now… Read more  

Green Square advises Precious Media on its acquisition by MSQ

We are delighted to have advised Precious Media (“Precious”), a connected commerce digital agency based in London, on its acquisition by MSQ, the next-generation creative, technology and media company that is one of the world’s fastest-growing marketing groups. Precious will initially retain its brand and transition to MSQ’s M3 Labs over time. Established in 2007, Precious works at the intersection of content and commerce, leveraging strategy and insights to join up clients’ digital ecosystems and forge lasting connections between brands and their customers. Precious helps drive sales internationally for clients including Diageo, Hilton, Unilever and MARS. Launched last year, MSQ’s M3 Labs helps businesses Make, Manage and Measure their marketing content, delivering culturally relevant content faster and more effectively. The business has become a key part of MSQ’s end-to-end offer. Precious and M3 Labs will collaborate closely under a shared leadership structure to immediately bring joined-up thinking to clients. Collectively, M3 Labs’ team of 130 will work across London, Germany, Singapore, New York, Dubai and KSA with offshore hubs in Spain and India. Together they will deliver future-focused, always-on personalised content at scale and speed across all channels, backed by MSQ’s broader data, media and digital experience teams. Under the new M3 Labs structure, Chairman Mark Crampton and Managing Director Rebecca Vickery will be joined by Precious’ founder Peter Christiansen, reporting into MSQ’s executive director, Kate Howe.

Kate Howe, Executive Director at MSQ commented:

“The acquisition of Precious brings real depth in global production, tech-enabled products and e-commerce with experienced innovative industry leadership. Precious adds significant e-commerce and behavioural experience and will enable us to connect the dots even more than before with shared clients so that we are aligning brand profile with sales impact.”

Peter Christiansen, Founder and Managing Director of Precious, commented:

“The opportunity to join a bigger team with like-minded people that bring other skills to the table to benefit our clients, while retaining what makes Precious the unique agency it is, made this a really interesting proposition. MSQ is a great fit for entrepreneurial agencies to grow and collaborate, and I look forward to working with the enlarged M3 Labs team to the benefit of our business, our people and our clients.” “From our initial discovery sessions with Green Square, they have been at our side to guide us through the complexities and challenges of the process, which has been an exciting and insightful learning experience. Green Square’s dedication, attention to detail and positive attitude, along with their ability to focus on what really mattered, has been nothing short of outstanding! I’m truly grateful.”

Nick Berry, Partner at Green Square, commented:

“Getting to know Peter and the Precious team has been a fantastic experience. Precious’ client-centric approach and commitment to excellence are infectious. The continued growth of the business and the high esteem their clients hold them in are equally impressive.” “The strategic alignment with MSQ has been clear from the outset, and the potential benefit for clients is exciting. We look forward to seeing the continued success of both parties during the next stage of their journey.” Precious Media MSQ  

Why the writing was on the wall for Mark Read at WPP. Tony Walford quoted in The Drum

Speculation over the CEO’s future had become an unwanted distraction at a time when the holding company is trying to rebuild around AI and its WPP Media proposition. As WPP exits go, this one was not as shocking as the 10pm Saturday evening bombshell back in 2018 that Sir Martin Sorrell would be stepping down as CEO with immediate effect.

The 7am Monday press release announcing Mark Read’s departure at the end of the year was befitting of a man who, by nature, has always been more understated than his high-profile predecessor. But context, not choreography, is the real reason Read’s resignation, seven years after succeeding Sorrell, hasn’t come as a shock today. It had been an open secret for months now, inside WPP’s Sea Containers HQ in London and out, that the CEO was on the brink. As early as February, The Drum was in the company of senior counterparts from a rival holding company who were crudely discussing Read’s departure as a matter of when, not if. Unkind industry speculation has not stopped since and even found its way into a Sunday Times profile of Read, in April, referring to “ad industry gossips” suggesting the boss was “on his way out.” The ruthless rumor-mongering has been fueled by WPP’s sluggish performance in recent quarters, with revenue down 5% in Q1 and its share price falling 29% year-on-year at the time of writing. It is not the only holdco to have struggled in an undeniably grim macroeconomic climate, but its revenue decline has looked particularly perilous next to the much healthier performance of its main competitors, Publicis Groupe and Omnicom. WPP cannot simply claim to be a victim of challenging circumstances when its biggest rivals are winning. There’s the symbolism, too. After three decades at the top, WPP lost its position as the world’s biggest advertising holding company to Publicis at the end of 2024. The relentless rise of its French challenger and the impending mega-merger of American rivals Omnicom and IPG have made for unflattering comparisons and a gnawing sense among some observers that WPP risks being left behind by its growing rivals. Read has not been deaf to this mood music. As has been characteristic of his tenure, he has been bold in restructuring WPP’s agency brands in a bid to convince clients and shareholders it has the right model for the future. Only last month, he announced the rebranding of media buying giant GroupM to WPP Media, a significant step in reimagining the most valuable part of the business. But what should have been a milestone moment was spoiled by news of the relaunch leaking to the press before employees had been briefed, causing consternation for GroupM staffers unsure if their roles would survive the restructuring. Leaks are inevitable in an organization of more than 100,000 people. But staff dissent has become increasingly visible and vitriolic in recent months. The public backlash to WPP’s return to office mandate in January, prompting a 20,000-strong petition, was a case in point. Mandating four days’ office attendance may not be universally popular, but it is hardly draconian, especially when many of WPP’s FTSE 100 counterparts are insisting staff return to the office full-time. But haphazard company communication and questionable practical planning blew the issue out of proportion, turning internal politics into public ridicule. Once a narrative builds, it is hard to stop. Each company town hall (increasingly leaked, by the way) becomes a goldfish bowl, each account move a damning blow. The loss of $700m worth of Coca-Cola US media business in March was undoubtedly a sickener for Read and the man who may end up succeeding him, WPP Media CEO Brian Lesser. But the industry post-mortems on this portion of the account moving to Publicis vastly outweighed the coverage of Coke proudly renewing the remainder of its business, worth more than $3bn, with WPP two weeks ago. WPP had delivered “significant value,” said Coke’s global CMO, Manuel Arroyo, in a largely under-the-radar LinkedIn post. It sounds superficial. But if you want to be the CEO of one of the world’s biggest communications companies, company communication cannot be underestimated. This doesn’t mean you need the bravado of Sorrell (Arthur Sadoun, the CEO of Publicis Groupe, seldom speaks to the press outside earnings updates), but you do need a compelling story. Read inherited a chaotic and oversized organization. The analyst firm Forrester, recognizing WPP’s complexity, urged him to consolidate its innumerable agencies into a handful of core networks and get its media agencies to “operate as a single GroupM.” Its recommendations proved remarkably prophetic, but this was seven years ago. Since Read merged Y&R and VML in September 2018 – the first of a procession of agency mergers that continue today – it is as though the company has been in perpetual transformation mode. Compare Publicis. “Our transformation is behind us,” said Sadoun in February after being officially crowned the world’s biggest holding company. The Paris firm’s clear and compelling ‘Power of One’ approach, integrating creative, media, data and technology under a unified structure and reducing silos, has been credited with fueling its meteoric growth from third player to top dog. The creation of WPP Media is a tacit admission of how successful this approach has become. As Tony Walford, CEO of corporate advisory Green Square, says: “When Mark Read took over from Sorrell in 2018, things were very different. During his tenure, we’ve seen the rise of Meta and Alphabet, which now dominate the market in terms of sheer media volume, coupled with the threat of AI becoming reality and the need to streamline operations to face the market differently. When you have over 100,000 staff in a business built in a different world, this is tricky. “Publicis had first-mover advantage with its Power of One, while Omnicom and IPG are attempting to solve their challenges by coming together. As mentioned in our commentary on WPP’s 2024 results, it appeared to be putting all its faith in GroupM, having brought Brian Lesser back in last September to lead it all, under which it has subsequently pulled together all WPP’s media operations. “In sum, Read had non-stop challenges mostly not of his making, but maybe WPP just didn’t pivot quickly enough. Easy to say in hindsight and we shouldn’t ignore what was otherwise a stellar 30-year career building the group alongside Sorrell.” Read’s recent PR drive, including the Sunday Times story, an appearance on stage at SXSW and an interview with Fortune, looks now like belated recognition that he and WPP needed to tell their story better. He also used his exit statement to recount his achievements: “I was delighted for our teams that last year we were once again named Creative Company of the Year at Cannes Lions. We have also positioned WPP at the forefront of the industry with our investments in AI and, with the full launch of WPP Open this year, we are now leading the way as AI transforms marketing. We have an exceptional leadership team and a secure financial position that allows us to face the future confidently and capture the opportunities ahead.” Unlike the Saturday shocker when Sorrell left, WPP is in control of the story this time. A week before Cannes Lions is hardly textbook timing to part ways with a CEO, but with rumors of its global Mars media account hanging in the balance, getting the news out now will stop speculation about the boss from overshadowing its big pitch on WPP Media and AI on the Croisette. Beyond that will begin the real test of the transformation Read began – and the unfinished business his successor will inherit. Read more

“Own Something or Own Nothing” – M&A Is Reshaping the Creative Industries. Tony Walford speaking at Cannes Lions

Our partner Tony Walford is delighted to be speaking with HaysMac at Cannes on their panel discussing the changing landscape in M&A across the creative and tech industries. It’s at a fabulous villa in Super-Cannes on Tuesday 17th June from 4:00pm to 6:30pm, drinks and nibbles provided (plus lots of networking opportunities). If you’d like to join please register here

This is the year of the indie agency. And 2026 will be the year of outstanding creativity. Tony Walford writes in The Drum

Holding company restructures and redundancies are producing a new wave of indie agencies. It’s only a matter of time until they herald a new era of creativity, says Green Square’s Tony Walford. At the 2025 Predictions event run by The Drum in February, I was asked what I thought the year would bring for the agency landscape. My response was two things: further consolidation and this will be the year of the indie. Whilst we will see various agencies come together (not just Omnicom/IPG, but think Bauer/Channel Advisor and even Transmission/Earnest), we will also see indie agencies coming into their own, supplemented by a plethora of start-ups. And here’s why. The Omnicom/IPG combination will undoubtedly result in significant job losses as the combined company looks to increase profitability through cost-cutting. The saying “You can’t cut your way to growth” is very pertinent here…improving profitability through rationalization is all that’s being talked about, with seemingly no focus on growing revenues. WPP is shedding staff following its dismal 2024 results and, only this week, announced further consolidation within GroupM as it pulls its four agencies that operate under that banner into one. This is on top of some high-profile departures, including Ajaz Ahmed, founder of AKQA and veteran of 30 years, who recently broke cover on his new Indie startup, Studio.One. As a result, there are a lot of senior players within these groups considering their options even before the axe falls, and many will already be planning their next move – either joining an independent or starting one with a bunch of like-minded talent. Whilst restrictive covenants will prevent many stealing key clients and soliciting fellow staff for a period, client CMOs and brand marketers follow the talent, and it won’t take long for these agencies to thrive – look at Adam&Eve and Uncommon as prior examples of indies that became superstars. Indeed, Richard Brim (CCO) and Martin Beverley (CSO), recently left Adam&Eve/DDB (now seen as a mature agency, given it’s been 13 years since Omnicom bought it), to set up an Indie. But it won’t just be the senior talent on the move. Smart mid-tier and even juniors who understand the incoming impact of AI and can see a way of harnessing this into a differentiated offer will be interested in doing something novel. The issue, as always, will be money. It’s not easy for folks with mortgages and the like, or those on fairly low salaries, to simply walk out of an agency and set up another without a client already in place, and taking clients with them will be a big issue unless it’s with the employer’s blessing. This is something we’ve been involved with at Green Square, but it’s rare, and normally only when a business is divesting of a specific offering, in which case the clients go with the departees. Enter Private Equity. We’ve seen Huge and R/GA both be sold to management by IPG with PE backing and there are rumors that IPG is divesting of the Australasian element of one its other major agencies to avoid falling foul of the anti-trust (monopoly) legislation that could hamper the Omnicom merger. Historically, PE has backed some of the major “independents” we see today – Dept, Brandtech, North Alliance, and Jellyfish to name a few, and there remains a lot of “dry powder” (cash needing deployment) in PE funds. This cash is available for various purposes – to facilitate the purchase of significant agencies from larger groups, augment existing PE-backed platforms through the acquisition of complementary offers, or fund big Indies to accelerate growth whilst allowing owners to take some cash off the table. But backing startups isn’t something PE is interested in – too risky and too long to wait for a return. For startups, it’s back to the blood, sweat and tears of using personal resources and funding to get off the ground. Perhaps turning to friends and family, or indeed peers who have previously sold a business and want to get involved with backing an exciting new venture. But small is beautiful and as the global economy slows, marketing budgets get cut and CMOs and brand managers spend differently, perhaps spreading their reduced budgets across smaller, more agile agencies that specialize in specific areas of expertise, rather than giving it to one of the networks who could be perceived as navel gazing as they try and solve their own problems. On that note, I worry about this rash of consolidation across the ‘Big Three’. Whilst Publicis was ahead of the game in moving to its Power of One, WPP’s restructuring and Omnicom/IPG smacks of crashing things together primarily to cut costs, and I wonder what the results will look like from a client point of view. Will there be any differentiation? If it becomes a bit of a blancmange, with their offers all looking the same, then the only obvious differentiator is price, which will mean a race to the bottom for that gang, whilst fresher, more agile and client-focused indie agencies steal a march. It’s always been the case that indies are fleet of foot and are less restricted by admin, bureaucracy and overhead in delivering their creativity and output. In a world currently characterized by conflict and economic uncertainty, we need to be entertained to take our minds off things. As we see indie agencies flourish, the biggest ray of light will be the uplift in creative output they will undoubtedly bring. Their ability to experiment, push boundaries, and just generally be more innovative without the shackles of “big corporate”, should lead a plethora of new ideas. So, whilst 2025 is already the Year of the Indie, I’m putting my money on 2026 being the year of Outstanding Creativity. Read more

Green Square advises Amplify on its acquisition by Common Interest

We are proud to have advised Amplify, a global creative agency specialising in brand experience, entertainment and culture, on its sale to Common Interest. With over 200 people and offices in London, Paris, NY, LA and Sydney, and having been awarded Campaign’s Brand Experience Agency of the Decade, Amplify is a world leader with clients including Google, Playstation, Nike and Samsung to name a few. Amplify’s subsidiaries, student and youth specialist Seed and business experience agency Wonder, also formed part of the transaction. Common Interest is a global communications and entertainment group which focuses on connecting brands and audiences through popular culture. Founded by Anthony Freedman, who previously founded Host and One Green Bean which were sold to Havas, the group has been growing rapidly and includes global brand consultancy TwentyFirstCenturyBrand, cultural intelligence platform CultureLab and design and communications studio Otherway.

Anthony Freedman, Founder, Common Interest commented:

“What sets Amplify apart is its creative brilliance. That’s why we wanted them to join us. We’re not here to stifle their creativity – on the contrary, we want to empower them to be even more creative. We want to find the best in each space, and that means bringing in businesses that complement each other. It’s not about creating competition within the group but about building a strong ecosystem where collaboration thrives. Our position as the world’s first group focused on building brands in popular culture is supercharged with the addition of Amplify which brings its proven track record for delivering worldbuilding ideas that blur the line between brand, entertainment, tech and modern media, both globally and locally.”

Jonathan Emmins, Co-Founder, Amplify commented:

“We’ve obviously been independent for a long while now, and really enjoyed our independence. Anthony has always been someone I’ve respected from afar, from Host and One Green Bean days, and Common Interest just felt like the perfect home for us. The ambition, the spirit, and the approach to culture – it just made sense. We’re here to build something long-term. This is about the next five, 10, and 15 years. We’re excited about the opportunities this partnership brings, not just for Amplify, but for all the businesses in Common Interest.”

Anton Mercier, Co-Founder, Amplify commented:

“I cannot recommend working with Barry and the team at Green Square highly enough. We absolutely couldn’t have done this without them. It’s been a journey and they’ve been with us at every step of the way. Their counsel has been impeccable and not least, it’s been a total pleasure. Barry’s strategic and financial acumen is second to none, only matched by his calm. He has been a true inspiration to me and the team and long may that continue.”

Barry Dudley, Partner at Green Square commented:

“We’ve worked with Amplify for a number of years and it’s been a pleasure to witness their transition into what is in my opinion the world’s premier brand experience agency. Anton, Jonathan and the broader leadership team were a pleasure to work with and, in Common Interest, we’ve found an amazing fit and the perfect home for the next chapter of their journey. We’re so excited to see what they will do together, it’s going to be spectacular.” Amplify Common Interest

S4 Capital at a crossroads: stability, struggles and strategic speculation. Tony Walford writes in The Drum

Will S4 Capital sell to a holding company competitor, go down the increasingly popular private equity route or just sit tight? Green Square’s Tony Walford looks at what the future may hold for the marcomms firm following its latest financials. This time last year, S4 Capital’s press release said that for 2024: “We are targeting like-for-like net revenue to be down on the prior year [2023] with a broadly similar overall level of operational Ebitda as 2023, as a result of cost reductions made in the previous year.” And broadly S4 achieved this. Its recently announced 2024 full year results showed net revenue down 11% on a like-for-like basis at £754.6m and operational Ebitda at £87.8m, down 0.6% on a like-for-like basis. So, there was no real surprise for the stock markets with the share price actually going up. Sir Martin Sorrell, executive chairman, said: “The macroeconomic environment in 2025 will remain challenging given significant volatility and uncertainty in global economic policy, particularly tariffs. In geopolitics, US/China relations, Russia/Ukraine and Iran remain volatile issues and therefore clients are likely to remain cautious. With that said, we expect to benefit from new business, especially in the second half and for the full year we expect net revenue and operational Ebitda to be broadly similar to 2024, with a further reduction in net debt.” This guidance for 2025 sounds familiar to a year ago. If this happens the net revenue in recent times will be: 2022 – £891.7m, 2023 – £873.2m, 2024 – £754.6m and 2025 around £750m. Let’s see. The investor presentation that accompanied the results announcement and webcast was as slick as ever and set out S4’s view of the way forward. And AI was very prominent in this as it has been for some time for the firm. The nature of its offer – content, data & digital media and tech services – naturally lends itself to the AI world. But this seems some way from translating into growth. Lots has been done on cost-cutting and operating efficiencies. Headcount is down 7% and net debt is steadily being reduced. But you can’t cut your way to growth and the question still looms in terms of motivating those key employees that sold their agencies to S4 in exchange for 50% cash, 50% shares – the share element being worth vastly less than what they exchanged ownership of their agencies for. Today, at 35p, it’s just above this month’s all-time low of 27p compared to its all-time high of 878p in September 2021. Clearly, as the last S4 acquisition was over two years ago, the impact of this has probably ‘washed through.’ In any event, these employee shareholders will want to see the share price improve and, perversely, may even be more motivated to help drive it up given what they have at stake. Will there be pressure from shareholders, not just the institutional players but particularly key employees, to realize higher value than currently dictated by the market? If a takeover offer emerges, that generally creates an uplift, particularly if more than one suitor enters the fray. So, if we now have a lean, future-facing business with its cost base under control, lower client-attrition and new business coming in (per Sir Martin’s comments), then it could be undervalued. Add to that S4’s investment in where the future is heading, this may well be a compelling addition to a bigger group. So let’s look at the suitors… WPP, oh the irony, but has the sour relationship between the leaders healed with time? Having reported the worst set of results for 2024 of its peers, WPP is putting “everything on red” in backing GroupM and the integration of WPP Open, its AI operating system across the group, to be the growth driver. Adding S4 to the mix could make sense, particularly given it was set up as a “new-age digital advertising, marketing and technology services company” from the start. But WPP may have already caught up. Dentsu could add substance outside of Japan and advance its AI journey forward but as per its results announcement, it seems to be retrenching and stabilizing, much like S4 has been. Havas is another option – perhaps a relatively big and bold move by the recently listed group which would certainly be headline-grabbing. And Stagwell? There were rumors in late 2023 that Mark Penn had tabled an offer which was rejected by S4. Given the fall in share price since then, I wouldn’t be surprised if they were circling again, but Stagwell has invested heavily in AI themselves and could have moved on. Or… Sir Martin takes it private. Despite the current global economic uncertainty, there’s still a lot of PE money looking to find a home and Sorrell has never been a seller – look at how WPP held on to its minority stake in Chime back in the day when it was taken private by Providence Equity. Thus, he may see PE as a good way of taking it out of the glaring spotlight of the markets while retaining control. Whatever route S4 ends up going, given its current share price I think we could see some interesting twists and turns in the next 12 months… Read more