Despite Trump, Iran remains an exciting proposition for the marcomms industry

Back in late 2008/early 2009, there was a good deal of optimism in America and much of the developed world; surprising really, given that we’d just suffered the worst financial meltdown in more than 80 years. The reason for that optimism was, of course, the election of a new US president. Barack Obama wasn’t just the first black POTUS in history, he represented something new after the divisive Bush and Clinton years. He was charismatic, personable, young – with something of the young John F. Kennedy about him – and was full of energy and ideas.
It’s fair to say that, despite his undoubted qualities as a man, and his good intentions, Obama’s two terms were something of a disappointment, and that optimism of those years had largely faded by the time he left office. However, he did achieve something very significant during his two terms – and that was bringing Iran back into the fold after 30 years. My Green Square colleague Barry Dudley wrote about this in The Drum back in 2015. Why is Iran important, not just for the marcomms industry, but for the world in general? Well, as Barry pointed out, and despite its well-documented problems (notably a repressive government, religious extremism and an ongoing proxy war with Saudi Arabia which has caused untold misery in the Middle East and beyond), Iran is more than a dour, backwards theocracy. It has a predominantly young, outward-looking and entrepreneurial population (56% of its 80 million people are aged under 25) with a surprising affection for parts of the west and a hunger for brands. One of the most wired-up countries outside the west – internet penetration runs at 56%, and mobile penetration is now approaching 130% – it’s potentially a regional superpower. Economic growth is running at about 20% and the country has more tech and advertising startups than anywhere else in the region. The young, urbanised population is stylish and well-informed and educated; and, despite the government’s efforts, ingenious in its efforts to circumnavigate state crackdowns. The film, theatre and music industries are also thriving. While in no sense an, open, western-style democracy, it is starting to look like a modern state. No wonder then that brands and their marketing agencies are interested in the country. Indeed, shortly after Barry wrote that piece, the sage of advertising, WPP boss Sir Martin Sorrell, was bigging up the country. As Iran-watchers consistently pointed out, Iran is a more westernised country than China. While progress is – inevitably – slow, the opportunity for brands in Iran remains potentially huge, and the big networks will be licking their lips at the thought of snapping up, or working with, the country’s agencies. These include Zigma8, PGt, Nour and Irannovin. The best-known of these shops is Tehran-based Zigma8, whose founder and executive creative director, Dr Mir Damoon Mir, has established himself as something of a guru on his country’s agency scene. “The first and most important thing to bear in mind when advertising and branding in Iran is that you are communicating with one of the most diverse audiences in the world,” he said last year. “This is a vast community from the north of Iran to the south, and from east to west, with an unsaturated market in the big cities. Tehran is the second largest city in Western Asia, and the third largest in the Middle East. It’s a large, multicultural community with a wide range of diversity. “Even though the purchasing power of the majority of people decreased in the eight years of the Mahmoud Ahmadinejad regime, this is still a demanding society when it comes to luxury brands and quality products and services. Many luxury malls have opened in Tehran and other Iranian cities in recent years, and most of them are fully packed on weekends. “People enjoy shopping and having dinner or lunch in restaurants and fast food places. They love to dress up and go out to malls, to see and be seen, and even if they’re not shopping, they’re at least window-shopping. More than fifteen large shopping malls are under construction just in Tehran, and many more in other parts of the country. “I know lots of teenagers who work full-time for $400 per month, but when you look at their wardrobe, each item costs $150 or more, and it is all major brands. The community is very sophisticated about brands. Iranian consumers have a definite sense of style, and they like to show off.” Mir identifies gaming, computer hardware and software, banking, homewares and fashion as growth areas. Samsung, Danone, Unilever, BAT and Bayer are all already advertising in the country. So, lots of potential there. You can see why stylish brands such as Apple are interested in gaining a foothold in this potentially lucrative market. Since then, a spanner has been thrown in the works with the election of the 45th US president. Donald Trump has made no secret of his desire to pull America out of the Obama deal and re-impose sanctions. Leaving aside the geopolitical effects of such a move – far too complex to deal with here – outward-looking brands and agencies here in the west will be disappointed if Iran becomes a pariah again, the door slammed shut just when it had been pushed ajar. For all his bluster, The Donald has, however, yet to enact any of his decrees: both his repeal of Obamacare and the “travel ban” have become stuck in the labyrinthine corridors of Washington politics, with no resolution in sight. And only this week Theresa May underlined the UK government’s support for the nuclear deal. Of course, no matter how this drama plays out, there will be significant challenges for any agencies wishing to work in the country – not least the distinctions between Persian and Arabic language and culture (and indeed between Judeo-Christian/Western secular and Shia Islamic culture). It is not simply a case of repurposing content from other areas of Europe or the Middle East, as this approach will be rejected by Iranian consumers. Some brands will also find it easier than others to launch in Iran. Certain products, like energy drinks, are prohibited, while other types of foods and industrial goods will encounter tougher regulations, with the Iranian government keen to protect local producers. But things look more straightforward for companies in the technology and telecoms space. However, foreign advertisers are currently forced to pay a premium to advertise on Iranian TV, which will require expert negotiating skills by media agencies; and although some large supermarket chains (notably Carrefour) have entered the market, the country is still dominated by bazaars and small shops, making it difficult for western brands to get decent distribution. But these are not insurmountable problems. Iran still remains a tantalising and exciting proposition, and the marcomms industry should, now more than ever, be working at ways of developing it.

Green Square were delighted to judge and sponsor The Drum Network Awards 2017

Congratulations to the winners and everyone involved. Fantastic to see so many of you there.
Tony Walford commented: “I was delighted to judge and present the awards which aim to recognise not only the excellent marketing and strategic work being created by agencies around the world, but also recognise agencies who are pushing the boundaries and demonstrating impressive growth.” Read more and full results

Are You Considering An Exit? Breakfast Seminar: September 2017

Green Square, Arbuthnot Latham & Co, and haysmacintyre were delighted to present a seminar on maximising value through a sale process and post acquisition wealth management. Offering invaluable advice on selling either now or in the future, the optimal tax planning process and post acquisition wealth management.
Green Square’s Partner Tony Walford shared insights into how leading agencies need to react in the disruptive enviroment of today, where the world is increasingly data dominated and the nature of marketing and buyers is changing. React and change to take advantage of new opportunies. Topics covered • Acquisition drivers • Key business attributes • Growth strategy • Top tips to get your house in order • The sale process • Financial healthcheck • Tax planning • Post acquisition wealth management Speakers Tony Walford, Partner of multi-award winning M&A Green Square Ian Cliffe, Partner and Head of Corporate Finance, haysmacintyre Tom Bostock, Chartered Financial Planner, Arbuthnot Latham & Co John Hutton-Attenborough, Chartered Financial Planner, Arbuthnot Latham & Co Please email Debbie Hyde for more information or to be invited to future events.

Green Square advises Circle Research on its sale to Next 15

Green Square Associates is pleased to have advised the shareholders of Circle Research, one of the UK’s most highly respected B2B strategic insight consultancies, on its sale to Next Fifteen Communications Group plc. Based in London, Circle specialises in research-led solutions for clients’ specific brand marketing issues and delivers measurable commercial success. Circle’s largely blue-chip client base includes Vodafone, Google, Mastercard and Facebook and the agency holds the prestigious MRS Best Agency Award.
Next 15 consists of 17 agencies and employs over 1,600 people across 14 countries. Its capabilities include Digital Content, Full-Service marketing, PR, Public Affairs, Marketing Technology and Market Research. Circle will join Next 15’s insights group, MIG Global. The acquisition represents an excellent cultural and strategic fit for both parties, with Circle bringing significant B2B insight capability and Next 15 providing the digital insight technology and international footprint Circle needs. David Willan, retiring Chairman, Circle commented: “For me, Next 15 represents the perfect home for Circle. The strategic and operational rationale was clear from the outset and the chemistry is superb. I am pleased to be leaving the business in such capable hands. Green Square are a breath of fresh air in the stuffy world of M&A. They combine significant financial nous with an excellent understanding of our industry and a relentless determination – verging on the obsession – to always do what’s best for their clients. In our case they showed considerable resilience in securing the best possible outcome for Circle. After an earlier transaction fell down at the last hurdle (through absolutely no fault of Green Square’s) they came up with a new list of potential buyers in short order, very quickly identified another excellent home for Circle and negotiated the perfect outcome for all parties. Andrew, Tony and the team are an absolute pleasure to work with and constantly reinforce the sense that, whatever the situation, they’re always on your side” Beth Pearson, Joint Managing Director, Circle commented: “We’re confident that joining MIG and Next 15 is a positive move for Circle’s clients and team. MIG shares our core values – great work, delighted clients and happy people – and will enhance our offering by bringing cutting-edge research technology and an on-the-ground international presence.”  Tony Walford, Partner, Green Square commented: “We have known Circle for four years and worked with the management team as they honed their offer, expanded their client base, developed their staff and improved their financial performance. They are a fantastic group of people and it was a privilege to be alongside them on the journey. We wish them the very best with the new opportunities Next 15 brings and their continued, and well deserved, success”

Green Square and Intermarketing Agency at The Drum Business Jam Leeds: Agency Growth July 2017

Barry Dudley and Intermarkeing were delighted to join The Drum Business Jam seminar in Leeds to explore “Is there such a thing as normal in the market any longer?” and how this impacts agency growth in 2017.
Barry, Jamie Allan and Steve Sowden shared insights and inspiration around Intermarketing’s journey – growing from their origins as a highly creative independent Leeds agency to becoming one of the UK’s largest and most respected independents with 170 staff across offices in London, Leeds, Amsterdam and Sydney. Green Square were proud to have advised Intermarketing on its sale to Advantage Smollan in June 2017. “We have worked closely with Jamie, Steve and the team at Intermarketing for four years during which time they have refined and expanded their offering, capabilities, clients and geographies. We have the utmost respect for the “can do” attitude the agency takes to everything it does, the strong relationships they have with their clients and the amazing culture that the agency has fostered. It has been an absolute pleasure to have been with them on this journey and for the new one ahead.” Please email Debbie Hyde for more information or to be invited to future events.